Making predictions about Grand Theft Auto 6 is a bit tricky considering that the game is still at least 10 months away. It’s not a question about whether GTA 6 will be a hit, hit, but how big and how far the impact will be felt. Video game venture capitalist firm Konvoy recently released its projections for GTA 6, and it’s predicting that Rockstar Games’ latest title will reach $7.6 billion in revenue just 60 days after launch.
Josh Chapman–a managing partner of Konvoy–shared the company’s GTA 6 forecast on Linkedin earlier this week. Konvoy’s analysis makes certain assumptions that have yet to be confirmed by Rockstar, including an $80 base price and a $2 billion budget for the game itself. Those numbers are still conjecture, and the CEO of Rockstar’s parent company, Take-Two Interactive, Strauss Zelnick, recently said that there is “way more value to a consumer than whatever that consumer pays,” as opposed to “what the top-line price is.”
Regardless, Konvoy believes that GTA 6 will recoup its estimated $2 billion budget in under 30 days and go on to become the biggest gaming launch of all time while shattering records for copies sold and revenue generated. By the end of the second month, Konvoy predicts that the game’s total revenue will be $7.6 billion.
Intriguingly, Konvoy believes that GTA 6 will introduce a new UGC platform that allows mod creators to build their own areas of the game which will allow them to potentially be paid for their efforts through a creator economy that mimics UEFN and Roblox.
One of the last predictions is that GTA 6 will feature 200-person lobbies and a system that allows other players to steal weapons and items from each other.
Rockstar has been very secretive about GTA 6’s details, but at least one leak has suggested that Drake will have his own radio station in the game. It’s also estimated that the decision to push the game out of 2025 will cost the industry $2.7 billion in revenue.
Grand Theft Auto 6 will hit PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on May 26, 2026.
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